By joining this group you will also get the opportunity to subscribe to its activity. Join this group
PURE Research Programme

Welcome to the home page for the PURE research programme

A major contribution to the PURE programme comes from two research consortia, each funded for four years (see "About us" for more information on the consortia). Their overarching objectives are:

  • To improve the handling of uncertainty in relation to natural hazards, by both scientists and stakeholders;
  • To improve communication between the science and stakeholder communities.

Achieving these objectives will involve the dissemination and uptake of state-of-the-art methodology across all natural hazard areas, adapted as necessary to meet the demands of specific situations. It will create consistency and greater scientific rigour regarding the treatment of uncertainty in natural hazard risk assessment. This in turn will enhance the capacity, knowledge and skills of stakeholders from private and public sectors, and improve societal security through better and more consistently informed decision-making under uncertainty.

The research is structured around a collection of targeted case studies, each involving a specific stakeholder partner. These case studies cover many different application areas and decision problems, ranging from catastrophe modelling for insurance companies to the real-time management of events such as a volcanic ash cloud, flood inundation or a severe cold spell during winter (see "What we do" for more information). The consortia welcome discussions with additional stakeholders for whom this kind of activity may be seen as beneficial.

Main road from Llanwrst to Trefriw, North Wales, January 2013


Latest news

Summer School: Risk and uncertainty in natural hazards, 7-11 July 2014

Summer School: Risk and uncertainty in natural hazards, 7-11 July 2014 Engineers’...


For further details, or enquiries about becoming involved with the work of the consortia, contact:


Prof Thorsten Wagener, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Bristol
Tel: (+44) (0)117 331 5737

Dr Lisa Hill (CREDIBLE Project Manager)
Tel: (+44) (0)117 95 45376


Prof Richard Chandler, Department of Statistical Science, University College London
Tel: (+44) (0)20 7679 1880


Upcoming events

There are no results.